Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T07:58:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3D 0x3d4d…6891 other 11 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$6 (-5%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 11L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day24.0pace
Kalshi-fit18%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 82% −$15
tech 18% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -15.6% -23.7% 0% 0% -20.7%
≤30d 11 -15.6% -23.7% 0% 0% -20.7%
≤90d 11 -15.6% -23.7% 0% 0% -20.7%
all 11 -15.6% -23.7% 0% 0% -20.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.7% 0% -20.7%
10% ← realistic here -31.0% 0% -28.3%
15% -37.6% 0% -35.2%
20% -43.8% 0% -41.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$1 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit18%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 11 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? Jun 16 $2 $0 -16%
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 16 $7 −$2 -21%
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? Jun 16 $7 −$3 -37%
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Jun 16 $14 −$3 -21%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? Jun 16 $19 −$3 -13%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026? Jun 16 $37 −$2 -6%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 16? Jun 16 $13 −$1 -5%
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 15 $6 −$2 -33%
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 15 $14 $0 -3%
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? Jun 15 $11 −$1 -7%
Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026? Jun 15 $0 $0 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? SELL Yes 18¢ $1 40m
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 40m
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? SELL No 28¢ $6 1h
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? BUY No 32¢ $7 1h
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? SELL Yes 19¢ $4 1h
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? SELL No 51¢ $11 1h
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? BUY No 60¢ $14 1h
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? BUY Yes 27¢ $7 1h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? SELL No 72¢ $16 2h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? BUY No 82¢ $19 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026? SELL No 64¢ $35 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026? BUY No 66¢ $37 2h
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 16? SELL Down 61¢ $1 4h
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 16? SELL Down 59¢ $12 4h
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 16? BUY Down 61¢ $12 4h
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 16? BUY Down 61¢ $1 4h
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? SELL No 20¢ $4 21h
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? BUY No 28¢ $6 21h
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 55¢ $14 22h
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 55¢ $14 22h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? SELL Down 42¢ $10 24h
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? BUY Down 43¢ $11 24h
Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026? SELL No 20¢ $0 24h
Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026? BUY No 21¢ $0 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 25 history records