Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:49:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3d48…6d01
crypto · 39 markets active 19h ago
4.0score
+$30 +33%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$30 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses22 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
Avg bet$2
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$30
30 days+$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$6 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$6 +603%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11PM ET Jun 05 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -93%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $11 +$36 +336%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $2 $0 -21%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? May 31 $10 +$3 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $9 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $9 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +23.3% +11.5% 58% 58% -8.1%
≤30d 39 +20.8% +9.3% 56% 56% +20.9%
≤90d 39 +20.8% +9.3% 56% 56% +20.9%
all 39 +20.8% +9.3% 56% 56% +20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +9.3% 56% +20.9%
10% -1.1% 54% +9.4%
15% -10.7% 49% -1.2%
20% -19.4% 44% -10.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 72 history records