Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:10:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3d3d…b802
crypto · 57 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses36 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)57 / 57
History coverage13d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days+$9
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $511 −$6 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $501 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$7 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 07 $14 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 07 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 07 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 07 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 07 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 07 $12 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 06 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 06 $18 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 06 $31 +$20 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 06 $22 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 06 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 05 $23 −$23 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 05 $22 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 01 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 01 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 01 $21 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 01 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 31 $16 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 31 $6 −$5 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 31 $12 −$5 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 31 $3 +$4 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 31 $8 −$6 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 31 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 31 $5 −$2 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $11 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $500 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $505 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $501 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $101 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $20 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $19 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $18 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -3.0% -12.2% 67% 36% -9.0%
≤30d 57 -4.0% -13.1% 63% 35% -10.4%
≤90d 57 -4.0% -13.1% 63% 35% -10.4%
all 57 -4.0% -13.1% 63% 35% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.1% 35% -10.4%
10% -21.4% 25% -19.0%
15% -29.0% 14% -26.8%
20% -36.0% 7% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 128 history records