Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3d3d…7bfb
other · 54 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$360 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$356 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$356
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses24 / 29
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)53 / 54
History coverage202d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit15%
Chart Positions 1 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 46¢ $19 $15 −$4 (-23%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage 3DMAX 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $182 $0 −$182 (-100%)
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22? Yes 72¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 27¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-18? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30? Yes 71¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05? Yes 71¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage FURIA 44¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $27 +$7 +27%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? Feb 27 $21 −$21 -100%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $49 −$49 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group St Feb 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16? Feb 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Feb 16 $66 +$17 +25%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Feb 16 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Feb 16 $51 +$35 +70%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15? Feb 15 $49 −$49 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14? Feb 14 $57 −$57 -100%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13? Feb 14 $100 +$56 +56%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11? Feb 12 $48 +$52 +108%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16? Jan 16 $122 −$122 -100%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15? Jan 16 $50 +$72 +144%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07? Jan 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07? Jan 07 $140 −$140 -100%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06? Jan 07 $200 +$41 +20%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06? Jan 06 $80 +$68 +85%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05? Jan 06 $100 +$32 +32%
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05? Jan 05 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $182 −$182 -100%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $100 +$133 +133%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $50 −$50 -100%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03? Jan 03 $92 −$92 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03? Jan 03 $74 +$60 +82%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03? Jan 03 $100 +$82 +82%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02? Jan 03 $160 +$90 +56%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30? Dec 30 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30? Dec 30 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29? Dec 29 $89 −$89 -100%
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28? Dec 29 $100 +$39 +39%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28? Dec 28 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26? Dec 27 $76 +$124 +163%
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23? Dec 24 $100 +$54 +54%
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-23? Dec 23 $100 +$72 +72%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23? Dec 22 $164 −$164 -100%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21? Dec 22 $100 +$104 +104%
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-21? Dec 21 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20? Dec 21 $75 +$85 +113%
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18? Dec 18 $24 −$24 -100%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-18? Dec 18 $75 −$75 -100%
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17? Dec 17 $48 −$48 -100%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17? Dec 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5) Dec 15 $150 +$109 +72%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3) Dec 14 $70 +$60 +85%
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-11? Dec 12 $100 +$120 +120%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10? Dec 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10? Dec 10 $70 −$70 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 90% −$513
sports 10% +$153
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $19 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 27¢ $15 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $34 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 78¢ $27 9h
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? BUY Yes 57¢ $21 106d
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 72¢ $49 111d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group St BUY FURIA 44¢ $40 117d
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16? BUY Yes 40¢ $40 117d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage SELL G2 100¢ $83 117d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage BUY G2 80¢ $66 117d
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage BUY 3DMAX 36¢ $20 117d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca BUY Natus Vincere 59¢ $51 117d
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15? BUY Yes 39¢ $49 118d
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-14? BUY Yes 60¢ $57 119d
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $100 120d
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11? BUY Yes 48¢ $48 122d
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16? BUY Yes 62¢ $122 148d
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15? BUY Yes 41¢ $50 149d
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07? BUY Yes 53¢ $100 157d
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07? BUY Yes 41¢ $140 157d
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06? BUY Yes 83¢ $200 158d
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06? BUY Yes 54¢ $80 158d
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05? BUY Yes 76¢ $100 159d
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05? BUY Yes 71¢ $100 159d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04? BUY Yes 67¢ $182 160d
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04? BUY Yes 51¢ $100 160d
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04? BUY Yes 35¢ $50 160d
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04? BUY Yes 43¢ $100 160d
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03? BUY Yes 28¢ $92 161d
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03? BUY Yes 55¢ $74 161d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -36.4% -42.4% 50% 50% -25.9%
≤30d 2 -36.4% -42.4% 50% 50% -25.9%
≤90d 2 -36.4% -42.4% 50% 50% -25.9%
all 53 -14.1% -22.3% 45% 45% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.3% 45% -17.1%
10% -29.7% 43% -25.1%
15% -36.5% 38% -32.3%
20% -42.7% 36% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.58 · official $14.58 (match) · 79 history records