Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:50:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3d3d…4ead
crypto · 1310 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,784 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,784 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,784
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses797 / 513
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1310 / 1310
History coverage49d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day49.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1310 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$331
7 days−$418
14 days−$418
30 days−$648
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$7 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$13 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,781
weather 0% −$1
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $8 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 174 -24.1% -31.3% 41% 36% -35.3%
≤30d 367 -29.7% -36.4% 43% 36% -34.6%
≤90d 1310 -10.2% -18.7% 61% 43% -18.2%
all 1310 -10.2% -18.7% 61% 43% -18.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 43% -18.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 28% -26.0%
15% -33.6% 17% -33.2%
20% -40.1% 10% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records