Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:16:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3d37…68c9
other · 7 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$2 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 6 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 1h
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 11¢ $1 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-68.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -65.0% -68.4% 0% 0% -68.4%
≤30d 1 -65.0% -68.4% 0% 0% -68.4%
≤90d 1 -65.0% -68.4% 0% 0% -68.4%
all 1 -65.0% -68.4% 0% 0% -68.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -68.4% 0% -68.4%
10% -71.4% 0% -71.4%
15% -74.2% 0% -74.2%
20% -76.7% 0% -76.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.82 · official $5.83 (match) · 8 history records