Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:46:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3d32…a2a7
crypto · 303 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,637 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,546 · open −$91
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$501
Realized−$3,546
Unrealized−$91
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses120 / 181
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions2
Markets (closed)301 / 303
History coverage38d
Avg bet$92
Trades / day80.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 301 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$212
7 days+$849
14 days+$336
30 days−$720
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 81¢ 81¢ $500 $501 +$1 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $92 $1 −$91 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $187 $0 −$187 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$82 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $120 +$83 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $234 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$110 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $91 +$171 +189%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$58 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $203 −$199 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$14 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $99 −$93 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $117 +$89 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $121 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $282 +$224 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $109 +$65 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $73 +$44 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$18 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $86 −$84 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $81 +$47 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $147 −$143 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$59 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $91 −$86 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $93 +$180 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $102 −$99 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$18 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $151 −$147 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$14 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $120 +$167 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $97 +$83 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$31 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$34 -96%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $100 +$71 +71%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $202 +$73 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 10 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 10 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $79 −$75 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$202 +2654%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 08 $76 +$185 +243%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 08 $160 +$156 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 08 $234 +$394 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 08 $16 −$15 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$3,285
finance 5% −$550
world 5% +$53
sports 3% +$145
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $27 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $13 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $24 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $25 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $23 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $16 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $14 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $16 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 +22.5% +10.8% 44% 42% +5.6%
≤30d 111 -4.4% -13.5% 41% 38% -15.2%
≤90d 301 -12.1% -20.5% 40% 37% -21.4%
all 301 -12.1% -20.5% 40% 37% -21.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.5% 37% -21.4%
10% ← realistic here -28.1% 34% -28.9%
15% -35.0% 30% -35.8%
20% -41.4% 26% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $501.40 · official $576.33 · 3500 history records