Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3D
0x3d2b…afc5
sports · 133 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$33,265 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$40,187 · open −$5,991
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43,446
Realized+$40,187
Unrealized−$5,991
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses76 / 52
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$10,381
Open positions8
Markets (closed)128 / 133
History coverage6d
Avg bet$6,173
Trades / day559.3
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17,548
7 days+$40,187
14 days+$40,187
30 days+$40,187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 67¢ 100¢ $13,227 $19,844 +$6,617 (+50%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Paper Rex 65¢ 76¢ $3,784 $4,452 +$668 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 55¢ 100¢ $2,314 $4,240 +$1,927 (+83%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 30¢ 30¢ $3,499 $3,476 −$23 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 72¢ 100¢ $2,522 $3,467 +$945 (+37%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 32¢ 24¢ $2,852 $2,130 −$722 (-25%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 63¢ 70¢ $1,891 $2,101 +$210 (+11%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 80¢ 86¢ $1,823 $1,954 +$130 (+7%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Paper Rex 56¢ 100¢ $787 $1,410 +$623 (+79%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 70¢ 100¢ $247 $352 +$105 (+42%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 28¢ 0¢ $629 $11 −$618 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 42¢ 0¢ $7,655 $9 −$7,646 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 46¢ 0¢ $1,557 $0 −$1,557 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 40¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Movistar KOI 24¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Team Falcons 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 26¢ 0¢ $796 $0 −$796 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 61¢ 0¢ $495 $0 −$495 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 35¢ 0¢ $414 $0 −$414 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 42¢ 0¢ $2,550 $0 −$2,550 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner TYLOO 32¢ 0¢ $795 $0 −$795 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Lynn Vision 23¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Monte 29¢ 0¢ $949 $0 −$949 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $64 +$198 +307%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10,666 +$3,250 +30%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $23,557 −$2,048 -9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $10,076 +$2,108 +21%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $11,128 +$1,403 +13%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,606 −$2,548 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $11,521 +$1,718 +15%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,045 +$456 +44%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6,043 +$844 +14%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5,504 +$1,686 +31%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,640 +$1,885 +33%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,960 +$2,191 +55%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,858 +$596 +15%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,980 −$1,089 -18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,177 +$21 +1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,690 −$902 -53%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $29,608 −$2,991 -10%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $596 −$430 -72%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $13,847 +$1,386 +10%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4,821 +$1,183 +24%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7,104 +$713 +10%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,789 +$914 +24%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $9,123 −$4,381 -48%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,750 +$2,254 +60%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,506 +$82 +6%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,168 +$516 +44%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $9,757 +$1,849 +19%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $10,229 −$812 -8%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $813 −$796 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,159 +$2,039 +65%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5,524 +$1,959 +36%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $414 −$414 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,125 +$834 +27%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,361 +$661 +49%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $5,561 −$140 -2%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $4,989 +$2,679 +54%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,625 −$138 -8%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $6,353 +$1,571 +25%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $4,875 +$239 +5%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $6,613 −$934 -14%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $1,484 +$466 +31%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20,640 −$6,240 -30%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $2,475 +$562 +23%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,143 +$286 +25%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $592 −$114 -19%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $6,770 +$3,772 +56%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $3,142 +$435 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$34,054
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 32¢ $328 3m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 26¢ $1 3m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $1,891 5m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $10 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $18 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $2 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $0 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $19 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $150 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $0 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $7 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $1 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $2 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $21 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $3 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $4 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $0 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $17 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $11 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $40 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $77 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $52 8m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 27¢ $277 8m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 27¢ $277 8m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 78¢ $1,570 8m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 23¢ $236 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $30 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $175 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $47 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $2 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+32.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 +46.0% +32.1% 59% 48% -5.8%
≤30d 128 +46.0% +32.1% 59% 48% -5.8%
≤90d 128 +46.0% +32.1% 59% 48% -5.8%
all 128 +46.0% +32.1% 59% 48% -5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover559.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +32.1% 48% -5.8%
10% +19.4% 38% -14.8%
15% ← realistic here +7.9% 23% -23.0%
20% -2.7% 17% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43,445.77 · official $43,445.77 (match) · 3500 history records