Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:07:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3C 0x3cec…2fa5 crypto 149 markets active 5h ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (365 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$143 (+5%) realized +$143 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate38%57W / 92L
Drawdown89%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day365.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (365 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 -5.7% -14.7% 35% 26% -13.0%
≤30d 149 +0.5% -9.1% 38% 29% -8.0%
≤90d 149 +0.5% -9.1% 38% 29% -8.0%
all 149 +0.5% -9.1% 38% 29% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover365.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 29% -8.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 19% -16.8%
15% -25.7% 15% -24.9%
20% -33.0% 11% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 34% · top 2 50% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
16.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$8 · ×1.71 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.06 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$143
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses57 / 92
Open positions0
Markets (closed)149 / 149
History coverage7d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day365.1
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 149 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$6 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$6 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$8 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $6 +$10 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$7 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$8 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$17 +231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$7 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $13 −$7 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$14 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 10 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $18 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$11 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $20 −$12 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $23 −$18 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$10 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $19 −$9 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$8 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $19 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $39 −$16 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $13 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $42 −$4 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$18 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $28 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$65 +440%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $44 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$22 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $18 −$14 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $22 −$6 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $40 −$12 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $54 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$10 -49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2637 history records