Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:42:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3cec…cbbc
crypto · 14 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$7 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses6 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)14 / 14
Avg bet$2
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-50.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -45.5% -50.7% 43% 29% -29.2%
≤30d 14 -45.5% -50.7% 43% 29% -29.2%
≤90d 14 -45.5% -50.7% 43% 29% -29.2%
all 14 -45.5% -50.7% 43% 29% -29.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.7% 29% -29.2%
10% ← realistic here -55.4% 21% -36.0%
15% -59.7% 7% -42.2%
20% -63.7% 7% -47.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 26 history records