Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:02:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3C 0x3ce1…1735 crypto 356 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (2995 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$399 (-1%) realized −$399 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%349W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$139per market
Trades / day2994.9pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$450
other 4% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2995 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 356 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -10.3%
≤30d 356 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -10.3%
≤90d 356 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -10.3%
all 356 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2994.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 0% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 0% -18.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
8.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$145 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$399
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses349 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)356 / 356
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$139
Trades / day2994.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 356 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $396 −$12 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $77 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $101 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $194 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $198 −$15 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $129 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $79 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $128 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $71 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $198 −$198 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $84 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $59 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $92 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $198 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $150 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $20 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records