Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:53:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3cb7…c0cb
crypto · 1517 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$379 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$379 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$379
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1423 / 93
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1516 / 1517
History coverage88d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day33.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 0 History 1516 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$10
14 days−$89
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 01 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$367
other 11% −$23
sports 0% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $11 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $20 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 7h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND W BUY 60¢ $25 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $17 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -0.0% -9.6% 95% 5% -8.0%
≤30d 314 -3.6% -12.8% 90% 19% -10.8%
≤90d 1516 -1.5% -10.9% 94% 9% -10.6%
all 1516 -1.5% -10.9% 94% 9% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 9% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 2% -19.2%
15% -27.2% 0% -27.0%
20% -34.3% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $25.00 · 3500 history records