Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:04:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3cad…92f0
sports · 1345 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$3,100 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,044 · open +$56
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,133
Realized+$3,044
Unrealized+$56
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses688 / 642
Est. fees paid−$867
Open positions15
Markets (closed)1330 / 1345
History coverage38d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day57.3
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 15 History 1330 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$982
7 days−$1,887
14 days+$1,694
30 days+$3,119
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 21¢ 100¢ $60 $286 +$226 (+376%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 29¢ 88¢ $60 $182 +$122 (+203%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 41¢ 45¢ $132 $145 +$13 (+10%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 41¢ 55¢ $74 $98 +$24 (+33%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 30¢ 28¢ $95 $89 −$6 (-7%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 44¢ 58¢ $60 $79 +$19 (+32%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 46¢ 52¢ $60 $66 +$6 (+11%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 43¢ 77¢ $30 $54 +$24 (+79%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Lucrezia Stefanini 28¢ 30¢ $30 $33 +$3 (+9%)
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) Bonzi 45¢ 40¢ $36 $32 −$4 (-11%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 46¢ 20¢ $60 $27 −$33 (-55%)
Set Handicap: Dart (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Dart 41¢ 28¢ $36 $25 −$11 (-32%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Zeynep Sonmez 47¢ 12¢ $60 $15 −$45 (-74%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 26¢ 4¢ $23 $3 −$20 (-87%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Lulu Sun 31¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Sinja Kraus 39¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Petr Brunclik 23¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Under 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 34¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Solana Sierra 28¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Martina Trevisan 25¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenone Michele Ribecai 46¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Nanterre vs. Monaco Nanterre 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Humbert vs. Ymer: Match O/U 22.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Tucuman: Karim Bennani vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Karim Bennani 47¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $11 +$18 +158%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $61 +$106 +172%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 12 $31 +$44 +146%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $31 +$46 +152%
Libema Open (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Diallo/Hurkacz Jun 12 $61 +$9 +14%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $98 −$96 -98%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $37 −$36 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $98 −$96 -98%
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Timo Legout Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Kai Thompson vs Valentin Gonzalez-Galino Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs Ymer Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Ilkley: Billy Harris vs Clement Chidekh Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Cattolica: Gonzalo Bueno vs Francesco Forti Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
ITF Wichita: James Trotter vs Karl Poling Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Bratislava: Lukas Pokorny vs Alex Barrena Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
ITF Los Angeles: Jack Satterfield vs Spencer Johnson Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
ITF Maanshan: Xiaoyin Yang vs Evan Zhu Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Ilkley: Veronika Podrez vs Tatiana Prozorova Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
ITF Vaasa: Guillaume Dalmasso vs Sten Hiiesalu Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Hiromasa Koyama vs Hayden Jones Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Bublik/Kyrgios vs Paul/Seggerman Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Modena: Jeline Vandromme vs Angela Fita Boluda Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Modena: Victoria Bosio vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Cholet vs. Paris Basketball Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 12 $117 −$117 -100%
ITF Los Angeles: Maxwell Exsted vs Theodore Dean Jun 12 $45 +$58 +129%
Cigarran vs. Estevez: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 11 $36 +$48 +134%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $104 +$160 +154%
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny Jun 11 $115 +$18 +16%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 11 $71 +$10 +14%
ITF Los Angeles: Karl Kazuma Lee vs Sasha Rozin Jun 11 $39 −$38 -98%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $122 +$21 +17%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $46 −$45 -98%
Shelton vs. Giron: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $71 +$56 +79%
Landaluce vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 11 $6 +$4 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$3,101
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 43¢ $31 7m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 47¢ $30 10m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 46¢ $30 10m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 28¢ $31 12m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 44¢ $31 22m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 44¢ $31 23m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 29¢ $37 35m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 47¢ $30 36m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 47¢ $30 38m
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 23¢ $6 51m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 29¢ $31 57m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 29¢ $31 57m
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) BUY Bonzi 45¢ $37 58m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 26¢ $8 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 26¢ $15 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 46¢ $30 1h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 46¢ $30 1h
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand BUY Yanis Ghazouani Durand 36¢ $3 1h
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand BUY Yanis Ghazouani Durand 37¢ $6 1h
Set Handicap: Dart (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) BUY Dart 41¢ $37 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 42¢ $37 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 41¢ $8 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 41¢ $31 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 47¢ $30 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 47¢ $30 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 51¢ $37 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 43¢ $7 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 43¢ $29 2h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Dominika Salkova 47¢ $30 2h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Dominika Salkova 45¢ $30 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 321 -13.1% -21.3% 39% 38% -21.0%
≤30d 1141 +7.4% -2.8% 52% 50% -3.4%
≤90d 1330 +7.4% -2.8% 52% 51% -4.5%
all 1330 +7.4% -2.8% 52% 51% -4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.8% 51% -4.5%
10% ← realistic here -12.1% 49% -13.6%
15% -20.6% 46% -22.0%
20% -28.4% 39% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,133.37 · official $1,133.37 (match) · 3500 history records