trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 52% | 48% | -5.8% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 52% | 48% | -5.8% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 52% | 48% | -5.8% |
| all | 25 | -21.5% | -29.0% | 52% | 48% | -5.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.0% | 48% | -5.8% |
| 10% | -35.8% | 40% | -14.9% |
| 15% | -42.0% | 28% | -23.1% |
| 20% | -47.7% | 20% | -30.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? | Yes | 27¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-36%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 23 | $3 | +$4 | +124% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 | Jun 23 | $3 | +$2 | +62% |
| Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $45 | +$2 | +3% |
| France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score | Jun 22 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | Jun 22 | $15 | +$5 | +31% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $10 | +$2 | +23% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $31 | +$14 | +46% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 | Jun 20 | $7 | −$4 | -54% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $22 | +$17 | +75% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $14 | +$8 | +56% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$15 | -74% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $30 | +$8 | +27% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $12 | +$3 | +21% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |