trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -2.3% | -11.6% | 80% | 0% | -11.9% |
| all | 23 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 91% | 0% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.8% | 0% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $99 | $99 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31 | Jun 01 | $199 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m? | May 12 | $199 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 22? | Apr 23 | $199 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 10? | Apr 11 | $199 | $0 | +0% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | Apr 01 | $229 | −$28 | -12% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 25? | Mar 26 | $227 | $0 | +0% |
| Wizards vs. Celtics | Mar 15 | $1,235 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $60 on March 14? | Mar 14 | $193 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 14? | Mar 14 | $1,041 | +$1 | +0% |
| Mavericks vs. Hawks | Mar 11 | $1,233 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 2 above $130? | Mar 07 | $1,232 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 23 above $50? | Feb 28 | $1,230 | +$1 | +0% |
| 76ers vs. Suns | Feb 08 | $1,227 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of January? | Jan 31 | $1,226 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 16 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 5 above $285? | Jan 10 | $1,270 | +$1 | +0% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Jan 02 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Jan 02 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 02 | $46 | $0 | +1% |
| Pump.fun all time high by December 31? | Jan 02 | $47 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Jan 02 | $98 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $262 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $472 | +$1 | +0% |