Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:48:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c96…0746
crypto · 46 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses25 / 18
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)43 / 46
History coverage193d
Avg bet$709
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 3 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-0%)
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 95¢ 95¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? No 98¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 19? No 1¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on December 29? No 0¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 5? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 11? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 23? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 20? No 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on February 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 8? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market cl Jun 01 $11 $0 +0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026? May 22 $11 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13? May 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12? May 13 $1,837 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12? May 12 $1,833 +$3 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 11? May 12 $1,830 +$3 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 11? May 11 $1,826 +$3 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10? May 11 $1,823 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10? May 10 $1,819 +$3 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 8? May 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6? May 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5? May 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4? May 04 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2? May 03 $4 −$4 -100%
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on Ap May 02 $4 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 1? May 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 31? Apr 02 $26 $0 +2%
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 14? Mar 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 5? Mar 06 $2,175 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 4? Mar 05 $2,168 +$7 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 3? Mar 04 $2,164 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 2? Mar 03 $2,158 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 1? Mar 02 $2,154 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 28? Mar 01 $2,148 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 27 Feb 28 $2,140 +$8 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on February 2 Feb 27 $2,136 +$4 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 25? Feb 26 $2,130 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 24? Feb 25 $2,123 +$6 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 20? Feb 20 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 19? Feb 19 $16 −$16 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 14? Feb 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 11 Feb 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$390 on the final day of trading of th Feb 10 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 5? Feb 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bill Clinton in jail by January 31? Feb 02 $6 $0 +0%
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026? Feb 02 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? Feb 02 $1 $0 +0%
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026? Feb 02 $1 $0 +0%
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? Feb 02 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on February 1? Feb 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 23? Jan 23 $3 −$3 -88%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? Jan 23 $6 $0 -0%
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on December 29? Dec 29 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4
other 0% $0
tech 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $11 1h
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market cl BUY No 100¢ $11 17d
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026? BUY No 99¢ $11 23d
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 30d
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12? BUY No 100¢ $1,837 31d
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12? BUY No 100¢ $1,833 31d
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 11? BUY No 100¢ $1,830 32d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 11? BUY No 100¢ $1,826 32d
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10? BUY No 100¢ $1,823 33d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 10? BUY No 100¢ $1,819 33d
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 8? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 35d
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 37d
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 37d
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 38d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4? BUY Yes 0¢ $6 39d
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 41d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 1? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 42d
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on Ap BUY No 100¢ $4 60d
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? BUY No 95¢ $5 64d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 31? BUY Yes 98¢ $26 74d
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 91d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 5? BUY No 100¢ $2,175 100d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 4? BUY No 100¢ $2,168 101d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 3? BUY No 100¢ $2,164 101d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 2? BUY No 100¢ $2,158 103d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on March 1? BUY No 100¢ $2,154 103d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 28? BUY No 100¢ $2,148 105d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 27 BUY No 100¢ $2,140 106d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on February 2 BUY No 100¢ $2,136 107d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 25? BUY No 100¢ $2,130 108d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-43.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +0.5% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 17 -40.9% -46.6% 59% 0% -9.6%
all 43 -37.0% -43.0% 58% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -43.0% 0% -9.5%
10% -48.5% 0% -18.2%
15% -53.4% 0% -26.1%
20% -58.0% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.54 · official $17.54 (match) · 91 history records