Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:43:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c6a…8a58
crypto · 1052 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$175 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$175 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$175
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses419 / 633
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1052 / 1052
History coverage23d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day109.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1052 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$39
14 days−$48
30 days−$175
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$175
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $7 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $8 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $9 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 -4.7% -13.8% 76% 67% -14.5%
≤30d 1052 -3.2% -12.4% 40% 17% -11.7%
≤90d 1052 -3.2% -12.4% 40% 17% -11.7%
all 1052 -3.2% -12.4% 40% 17% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover109.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 17% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 7% -20.2%
15% -28.4% 3% -27.9%
20% -35.5% 2% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records