Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:52:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c66…e551
other · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$48 -59%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized−$40
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Open positions4
Markets (closed)4 / 8
History coverage2d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day4.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 4 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$40
14 days−$40
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 2¢ $10 $3 −$7 (-74%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $4 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 2h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 2d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 2d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.69 · official $31.69 (match) · 9 history records