trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +17.5% | +6.3% | 71% | 71% | +17.3% |
| ≤30d | 24 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 62% | 62% | +11.6% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 62% | 62% | +11.6% |
| all | 24 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 62% | 62% | +11.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.7% | 62% | +11.6% |
| 10% | -6.3% | 62% | +0.9% |
| 15% | -15.3% | 58% | -8.8% |
| 20% | -23.6% | 46% | -17.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $10,000 | $9,922 | −$78 (-1%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | $1,122 | +$122 (+12%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $1,000 | $993 | −$7 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 70¢ | 69¢ | $1,000 | $993 | −$7 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $1,010 | +$483 | +48% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $1,014 | +$873 | +86% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $5,060 | +$3,273 | +65% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $1,008 | +$380 | +38% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $1,017 | +$1,364 | +134% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1,013 | +$712 | +70% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1,007 | −$1,000 | -99% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1,008 | +$380 | +38% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2,021 | +$1,056 | +52% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1,007 | +$326 | +32% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,014 | −$1,000 | -99% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,010 | −$1,000 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,011 | −$1,000 | -99% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $1,014 | +$838 | +83% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1,021 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1,019 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1,022 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1,011 | +$552 | +55% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $1,018 | +$526 | +52% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1,022 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1,012 | −$1,000 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1,016 | +$915 | +90% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1,022 | +$2,550 | +250% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1,019 | +$1,613 | +158% |