Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c33…ddd4
sports · 190 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$35 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses89 / 100
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)189 / 190
History coverage32d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 189 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$25
14 days+$25
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Tochigi City FC vs. Reilac Shiga end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-05-16? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-05-29? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-05-12? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC win on 2026-05-15? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-19? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
IK Start vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Independiente del Valle vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Kataller Toyama vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-31? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Reilac Shiga: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Kamatamare Sanuki vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū end in a draw? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Thespa Gunma vs. FC Gifu: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will CD Cuenca win on 2026-05-19? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 +$4 +238%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $5 +$1 +20%
Fukushima United FC vs. FC Ryūkyū: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $4 +$4 +105%
Will Tochigi SC vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 +$4 +276%
Tochigi SC vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $4 +$3 +79%
Blaublitz Akita vs. Kagoshima United FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $4 +$2 +46%
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. FC Imabari: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $4 +$2 +38%
Tokushima Vortis vs. Iwaki FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $4 +$3 +70%
Will Blaublitz Akita vs. Kagoshima United FC end in a draw? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $1 $0 +5%
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $2 +$2 +101%
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $2 +$3 +129%
Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Júbilo Iwata vs. FC Ōsaka: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $4 +$2 +50%
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $4 +$2 +57%
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $2 +$2 +82%
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $2 +$1 +60%
Yokohama FC vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $2 +$3 +152%
Will Tochigi City FC vs. Reilac Shiga end in a draw? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 06 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +25%
Will Canada vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw? Jun 06 $1 +$3 +250%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 06 $2 +$1 +42%
Will Moldova vs. Bulgaria end in a draw? Jun 05 $1 +$2 +216%
Will Slovakia vs. Montenegro end in a draw? Jun 05 $1 +$3 +307%
Will Hungary vs. Finland end in a draw? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5) Jun 05 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Haiti vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Jun 03 $2 −$1 -98%
Will Bulgaria vs. Montenegro end in a draw? Jun 01 $3 −$2 -98%
Will São Bernardo FC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 +$1 +145%
Will FC Cajamarca vs. Club Alianza Lima end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 +$2 +236%
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 +$3 +276%
Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5 May 31 $2 −$2 -99%
Will CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar end in a draw? May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-05-29? May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5 May 31 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw? May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Montedio Yamagata vs. Matsumoto Yamaga FC end in a draw? May 31 $1 +$2 +197%
Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5 May 31 $2 +$2 +99%
Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $1 +$5 +441%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? May 31 $1 +$6 +550%
Will Giravanz Kitakyūshū win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Kamatamare Sanuki vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū end in a draw? May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Matsumoto Yamaga FC win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Thespa Gunma vs. FC Gifu: O/U 2.5 May 31 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% −$13
other 40% −$17
crypto 5% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 69¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $1 26h
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 2d
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 2d
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 2d
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $2 4d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 83¢ $5 5d
Fukushima United FC vs. FC Ryūkyū: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 48¢ $4 5d
Tochigi SC vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $4 5d
Blaublitz Akita vs. Kagoshima United FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 68¢ $4 5d
Will Tochigi SC vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 5d
Will Blaublitz Akita vs. Kagoshima United FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 5d
Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. FC Imabari: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 72¢ $4 5d
Tokushima Vortis vs. Iwaki FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $4 5d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva SELL Mirra Andreeva 100¢ $1 6d
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva BUY Mirra Andreeva 95¢ $1 6d
Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 6d
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 43¢ $2 6d
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $2 6d
Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 6d
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $4 6d
Júbilo Iwata vs. FC Ōsaka: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 66¢ $4 6d
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 63¢ $4 6d
Yokohama FC vs. Renofa Yamaguchi FC: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $2 6d
Will Tochigi City FC vs. Reilac Shiga end in a draw? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 6d
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $2 6d
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-1.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +52.2% +37.7% 73% 70% +18.1%
≤30d 174 +13.4% +2.6% 48% 47% -11.6%
≤90d 189 +8.6% -1.8% 47% 46% -14.8%
all 189 +8.6% -1.8% 47% 46% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.8% 46% -14.8%
10% -11.2% 44% -22.9%
15% -19.8% 43% -30.4%
20% -27.6% 40% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 309 history records