Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:23:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c33…7fa3
crypto · 3 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$3 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-30.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -23.3% -30.6% 67% 33% -24.3%
≤30d 3 -23.3% -30.6% 67% 33% -24.3%
≤90d 3 -23.3% -30.6% 67% 33% -24.3%
all 3 -23.3% -30.6% 67% 33% -24.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.6% 33% -24.3%
10% -37.2% 33% -31.5%
15% -43.3% 0% -38.1%
20% -48.9% 0% -44.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 9 history records