Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:52:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c26…e122
crypto · 441 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$474 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$482 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$482
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses180 / 260
Open positions1
Markets (closed)440 / 441
History coverage2d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day1973.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 440 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$482
7 days−$482
14 days−$482
30 days−$482
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 28¢ 52¢ $9 $17 +$8 (+87%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $94 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$6 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$9 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$6 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$6 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$5 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$3 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$13 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$5 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $85 +$6 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $92 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$3 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $75 +$16 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$5 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$11 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$7 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$19 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $66 +$26 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $68 +$14 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $73 −$11 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$5 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$18 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$4 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$8 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $63 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$9 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$9 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$12 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$15 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$11 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$4 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$15 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$10 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$474
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $9 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $8 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $18 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $6 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $19 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $12 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $14 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-25.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 440 -18.0% -25.9% 41% 33% -12.4%
≤30d 440 -18.0% -25.9% 41% 33% -12.4%
≤90d 440 -18.0% -25.9% 41% 33% -12.4%
all 440 -18.0% -25.9% 41% 33% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1973.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.9% 33% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -32.9% 23% -20.8%
15% -39.4% 17% -28.5%
20% -45.4% 13% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.87 · official $10.45 · 3500 history records