Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:14:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c1f…0b79
crypto · 119 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses115 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)119 / 119
History coverage6d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day18.3
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 119 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 119 -0.5% -9.9% 97% 4% -8.7%
≤30d 119 -0.5% -9.9% 97% 4% -8.7%
≤90d 119 -0.5% -9.9% 97% 4% -8.7%
all 119 -0.5% -9.9% 97% 4% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 4% -8.7%
10% -18.6% 2% -17.4%
15% -26.4% 0% -25.4%
20% -33.6% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 234 history records