Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:14:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c1e…c5d6
sports · 3 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$1 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% +$1
other 20% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $3 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 30¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $2 5h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +33.9% +21.2% 100% 50% +21.0%
≤30d 2 +33.9% +21.2% 100% 50% +21.0%
≤90d 2 +33.9% +21.2% 100% 50% +21.0%
all 2 +33.9% +21.2% 100% 50% +21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +21.2% 50% +21.0%
10% +9.6% 50% +9.5%
15% -1.0% 50% -1.1%
20% -10.7% 50% -10.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $0.99 (match) · 5 history records