Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:03:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c10…96bf
sports · 20 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$9 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6 · open −$29
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized−$29
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses15 / 4
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)19 / 20
History coverage2d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 1 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken Aleksandar Vukic 60¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef Jun 14 $30 $0 -0%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Jun 14 $48 −$18 -38%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $47 +$1 +2%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $49 −$2 -5%
ITF Monastir: Victoria Milovanova vs Aspen Schuman Jun 14 $35 +$15 +42%
ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan Mi Jun 14 $22 +$13 +59%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $11 −$5 -50%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Eva Vedder Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$19
other 4% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Aleksandar Vukic 60¢ $30 1h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef SELL Ashlyn Krueger 68¢ $30 1h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef BUY Ashlyn Krueger 67¢ $30 1h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel SELL Taro Daniel 46¢ $30 1h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 72¢ $48 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell SELL Kimberly Birrell 76¢ $48 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 73¢ $47 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar SELL Anna Blinkova 68¢ $47 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 70¢ $49 2h
ITF Monastir: Victoria Milovanova vs Aspen Schuman SELL Victoria Milovanova 87¢ $49 3h
ITF Monastir: Victoria Milovanova vs Aspen Schuman BUY Victoria Milovanova 60¢ $35 4h
ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan Mi SELL Ilay Yoruk 95¢ $35 4h
ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan Mi BUY Ilay Yoruk 59¢ $22 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 16h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $5 17h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 17h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $5 19h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 92¢ $5 19h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 100¢ $5 19h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 92¢ $4 19h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef SELL Celine Naef 100¢ $4 20h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 98¢ $4 21h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo SELL Aleksandar Kovacevic 100¢ $4 22h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo BUY Aleksandar Kovacevic 98¢ $4 22h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito SELL Petra Marcinko 88¢ $4 23h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito BUY Petra Marcinko 82¢ $4 23h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp SELL Mia Pohankova 100¢ $4 23h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp BUY Mia Pohankova 98¢ $4 23h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Eva Vedder SELL Eva Vedder 83¢ $4 27h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Eva Vedder BUY Eva Vedder 76¢ $4 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +5.0% -5.0% 79% 21% -7.7%
≤30d 19 +5.0% -5.0% 79% 21% -7.7%
≤90d 19 +5.0% -5.0% 79% 21% -7.7%
all 19 +5.0% -5.0% 79% 21% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.0% 21% -7.7%
10% -14.1% 11% -16.6%
15% -22.4% 11% -24.6%
20% -30.0% 5% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.24 · official $0.24 (match) · 41 history records