trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -3.6% | -12.7% | 0% | 0% | -12.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +474.1% | +419.4% | 25% | 25% | +127.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +156.3% | +131.9% | 27% | 18% | +22.9% |
| all | 11 | +156.3% | +131.9% | 27% | 18% | +22.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +131.9% | 18% | +22.9% |
| 10% | +109.7% | 18% | +11.1% |
| 15% | +89.4% | 9% | +0.4% |
| 20% | +70.9% | 9% | -9.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $49 | $44 | −$5 (-11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? | Jun 22 | $87 | −$3 | -4% |
| Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-1.5) | May 26 | $51 | +$972 | +1900% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | May 24 | $453 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? | May 22 | $478 | −$26 | -5% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 19 | $476 | +$4 | +1% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | May 15 | $471 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026? | May 13 | $472 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5) | Apr 20 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | Apr 20 | $55 | +$15 | +28% |
| Spread: Kocaelispor (-2.5) | Apr 18 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |