Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:51:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c0c…5f40
crypto · 173 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$101 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$106 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized−$106
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses56 / 101
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions16
Markets (closed)157 / 173
History coverage14d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day95.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 16 History 157 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$45
14 days−$106
30 days−$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in June? No 98¢ 98¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 26¢ 32¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+27%)
Will Solana dip to $30 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 86¢ 83¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Will Solana reach $90 in June? No 95¢ 96¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June? No 55¢ 75¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+36%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? No 74¢ 97¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+31%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? No 35¢ 37¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No 86¢ 88¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will XRP reach $1.80 in June? No 97¢ 98¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Solana reach $100 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? No 78¢ 71¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No 73¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? Yes 12¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? No 88¢ 86¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$1 -24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$3 +33%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -34%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -40%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $5 −$2 -44%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +31%
Will XRP reach $2.00 in June? Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 10 $8 −$2 -22%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 12? Jun 10 $2 −$1 -78%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 09 $6 $0 -7%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Jun 09 $5 −$2 -49%
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? Jun 09 $2 −$1 -53%
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? Jun 09 $5 −$2 -38%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 09 $2 −$1 -64%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12? Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? Jun 08 $2 −$1 -45%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 12? Jun 08 $6 −$4 -64%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Jun 08 $2 −$1 -75%
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Jun 08 $5 −$2 -44%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June? Jun 07 $2 $0 -28%
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? Jun 07 $5 −$2 -46%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? Jun 07 $3 $0 +16%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? Jun 07 $3 +$2 +58%
Will Solana dip to $20 in June? Jun 07 $3 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? Jun 07 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% −$55
crypto 43% −$45
other 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 2h
Will Solana reach $90 in June? SELL No 96¢ $0 3h
Will Solana reach $90 in June? SELL No 96¢ $1 9h
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 11¢ $1 9h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 19h
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 33h
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 19¢ $1 33h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? SELL No 68¢ $0 33h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? SELL No 78¢ $0 33h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? SELL No 78¢ $0 33h
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 83¢ $0 33h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? SELL No 83¢ $0 33h
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 83¢ $0 33h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? SELL No 84¢ $0 33h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 35h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 35h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $1 36h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 36h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL Yes 28¢ $1 39h
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 39h
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? SELL No 88¢ $0 39h
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? SELL No 88¢ $0 39h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 42h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? SELL Yes 10¢ $0 42h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 43h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 46h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12? SELL Yes 99¢ $0 2d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? SELL No 7¢ $1 2d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? BUY No 12¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 95 -15.6% -23.6% 38% 28% -25.2%
≤30d 157 -13.1% -21.3% 36% 26% -19.6%
≤90d 157 -13.1% -21.3% 36% 26% -19.6%
all 157 -13.1% -21.3% 36% 26% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover95.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.3% 26% -19.6%
10% ← realistic here -28.9% 18% -27.3%
15% -35.7% 13% -34.3%
20% -42.0% 7% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.46 · official $39.16 (match) · 1291 history records