Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:50:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c0c…310b
crypto · 1281 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$732 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$731 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$731
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses638 / 642
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1280 / 1281
History coverage130d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1280 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$129
7 days+$165
14 days−$155
30 days−$501
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$17 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$13 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$12 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$16 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$29 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$719
other 0% −$4
politics 0% −$4
world 0% −$2
weather 0% −$2
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $13 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 156 +13.5% +2.7% 57% 54% +9.0%
≤30d 467 -1.9% -11.3% 48% 43% -16.5%
≤90d 1264 -5.2% -14.3% 50% 42% -13.5%
all 1280 -5.2% -14.2% 50% 42% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 42% -13.5%
10% -22.4% 38% -21.8%
15% -29.9% 35% -29.4%
20% -36.8% 33% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 2891 history records