Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:59:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3C
0x3c06…bbe2
crypto · 17 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$808 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$808 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$808
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses6 / 11
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
Avg bet$194
Trades / day44.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$808
7 days−$808
14 days−$808
30 days−$808
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $495 $0 −$495 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $310 $0 −$310 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $511 −$495 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $321 −$310 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $209 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $619 +$484 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $309 −$300 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$9 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$66 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $308 +$239 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $320 −$161 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$110 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$129 +124%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$798
sports 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $100 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $103 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $103 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $103 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $102 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $88 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $19 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $169 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-46.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -40.9% -46.6% 35% 24% -32.1%
≤30d 17 -40.9% -46.6% 35% 24% -32.1%
≤90d 17 -40.9% -46.6% 35% 24% -32.1%
all 17 -40.9% -46.6% 35% 24% -32.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -46.6% 24% -32.1%
10% ← realistic here -51.7% 24% -38.6%
15% -56.4% 24% -44.5%
20% -60.6% 24% -49.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 53 history records