Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:09:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3be0…9b50
crypto · 993 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$177 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$175 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized+$175
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses349 / 637
Open positions3
Markets (closed)986 / 993
History coverage4d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day715.5
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 3 History 986 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$337
7 days+$175
14 days+$175
30 days+$175
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 12¢ 25¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+107%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 13¢ 10¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 32¢ 36¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +59%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$14 +66%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -68%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +149%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +58%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -38%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$11 +376%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +44%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +156%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$17 +627%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% +$244
other 19% −$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 6m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $0 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 31m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $0 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 34m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 35m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $0 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 42m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 44m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 46m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 48m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 986 -5.4% -14.4% 35% 31% -6.9%
≤30d 986 -5.4% -14.4% 35% 31% -6.9%
≤90d 986 -5.4% -14.4% 35% 31% -6.9%
all 986 -5.4% -14.4% 35% 31% -6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover715.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 31% -6.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 27% -15.8%
15% -30.1% 25% -23.9%
20% -36.9% 23% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.80 · official $12.12 · 3500 history records