trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 20% | 20% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 20% | 20% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 20% | 20% | -9.4% |
| all | 24 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 58% | 8% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.2% | 8% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -17.0% | 0% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -25.0% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -32.4% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $3 | $0 | +15% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 10 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec | Jun 25 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority? | May 18 | $3 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League? | May 14 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 | May 13 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May? | May 13 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 11 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | May 10 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Minnesota Vikings? | May 10 | $10 | +$2 | +15% |
| Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | May 09 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | May 09 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31? | May 08 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Dillon Danis x Gorilla fight scheduled by next Friday? | May 08 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy? | May 08 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $15 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runo | Apr 05 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 | Apr 05 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? | Apr 02 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Feds raid Jay-Z before April? | Mar 27 | $15 | $0 | +0% |