Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3bcf…733d
crypto · 1142 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$19 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$16
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses578 / 518
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1096 / 1142
History coverage20d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day67.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1096 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$56
7 days+$33
14 days+$51
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 51¢ 94¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$9 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$39 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$6
other 1% −$1
world 1% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $41 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $20 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 615 -2.2% -11.6% 53% 53% -8.8%
≤30d 1096 -4.7% -13.7% 53% 51% -9.4%
≤90d 1096 -4.7% -13.7% 53% 51% -9.4%
all 1096 -4.7% -13.7% 53% 51% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 51% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 49% -18.1%
15% -29.5% 46% -26.0%
20% -36.4% 43% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.86 · official $6.11 · 1980 history records