Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:13:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3bcc…8629
crypto · 624 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$61 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$18
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses474 / 148
Open positions2
Markets (closed)622 / 624
History coverage72d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day9.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 2 History 622 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days−$65
14 days−$66
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $8 $18 +$10 (+127%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $8 $16 +$8 (+96%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +64%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +42%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +37%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$31
other 21% −$28
weather 1% −$2
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $8 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $8 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $8 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $8 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $8 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 596 -0.6% -10.1% 78% 58% -11.4%
≤30d 605 -0.7% -10.1% 78% 58% -11.5%
≤90d 622 -1.2% -10.6% 76% 57% -11.7%
all 622 -1.2% -10.6% 76% 57% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 57% -11.7%
10% -19.1% 30% -20.2%
15% -26.9% 16% -27.9%
20% -34.1% 9% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.87 · official $33.70 (match) · 1323 history records