Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T09:26:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3B 0x3bc6…638b crypto 1586 markets active 0h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d only
✗ bot/MM pace (80 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,200 (-9%) realized −$2,200 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%798W / 788L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day80.2pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63
7 days−$203
14 days−$1,664
30 days−$2,099
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$1,943
other 5% −$156
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (80 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 -21.7% -29.1% 41% 41% -26.7%
≤30d 1586 -8.1% -16.9% 50% 50% -17.3%
≤90d 1586 -8.1% -16.9% 50% 50% -17.3%
all 1586 -8.1% -16.9% 50% 50% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover80.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 50% -17.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 48% -25.2%
15% -32.1% 46% -32.4%
20% -38.8% 42% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +18% → late -34% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$14 · ×0.8 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,200
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses798 / 788
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1586 / 1586
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$15
Trades / day80.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1586 Trades
no open positions (62 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$8 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$8 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$12 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$14 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$15 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$15 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$4 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$6 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $21 +$13 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +45%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$6 +54%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$6 +119%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$8 +81%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$8 +209%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$8 +81%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +83%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $15 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $15 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $17 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $19 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $23 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $34 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $4.85 · 3500 history records