Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:28:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3bbf…aa1e
sports · 54 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$102 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$89 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized−$89
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses19 / 34
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions1
Markets (closed)53 / 54
History coverage68d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 1 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days+$3
14 days+$76
30 days+$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $50 $37 −$13 (-26%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 57¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Wrestlefest: Stephanie Vaquer vs. Liv Morgan Vaquer 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 59¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 58¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 25¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 20¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner MIBR 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 32¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 68¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 M80 24¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Wrestlefest: AJ Lee vs. Becky Lynch Lee 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BetBoom Team 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 36¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Wrestlefest: Cody Rhodes vs. Randy Orton Orton 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 MIBR 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner FURIA 30¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $30 +$58 +197%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $29 −$28 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 −$49 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $50 −$50 -99%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $51 +$51 +101%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $31 +$40 +132%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $30 −$30 -99%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $30 +$31 +103%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $31 +$24 +76%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $31 +$136 +442%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $51 +$30 +59%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $51 +$41 +81%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $20 −$19 -99%
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 06 $21 +$39 +182%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $30 −$30 -99%
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $69 +$33 +48%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $39 +$30 +78%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23? Apr 23 $41 −$41 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Apr 19 $23 +$18 +78%
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw? Apr 19 $18 +$6 +32%
Wrestlefest: Jacob Fatu vs. Drew McIntyre Apr 19 $10 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Apr 18 $10 −$10 -98%
Wrestlefest: Cody Rhodes vs. Randy Orton Apr 18 $10 −$10 -99%
Wrestlefest: Stephanie Vaquer vs. Liv Morgan Apr 18 $10 −$10 -98%
Wrestlefest: AJ Lee vs. Becky Lynch Apr 18 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Apr 13 $36 −$36 -99%
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $25 +$11 +43%
Will Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Apr 11 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Apr 11 $35 −$35 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Apr 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League S Apr 10 $10 +$4 +44%
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Apr 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08? Apr 08 $10 +$5 +52%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winner Apr 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) Apr 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07? Apr 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$109
other 17% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL 9z 99¢ $88 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 33¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 20¢ $29 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 25¢ $41 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 36¢ $50 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 36¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY paiN 19¢ $20 4d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY paiN 68¢ $50 4d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY M80 24¢ $31 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $102 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 49¢ $51 5d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY MIBR 21¢ $10 5d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL MIBR 99¢ $0 5d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL MIBR 99¢ $70 5d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY MIBR 42¢ $31 5d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BUY Astralis 53¢ $30 5d
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner SELL FlyQuest 0¢ $0 6d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner SELL B8 99¢ $62 6d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY GamerLegion 32¢ $31 6d
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY FlyQuest 43¢ $20 6d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 48¢ $30 6d
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? SELL Yes 100¢ $55 6d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY MIBR 6¢ $10 6d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL Monte 100¢ $166 6d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 18¢ $31 6d
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? BUY Yes 56¢ $31 6d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $81 7d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 62¢ $51 7d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL G2 99¢ $92 7d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY G2 54¢ $51 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-33.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -8.3% -17.1% 33% 33% -9.0%
≤30d 29 -10.4% -18.9% 38% 38% -1.6%
≤90d 53 -26.9% -33.8% 36% 36% -16.1%
all 53 -26.9% -33.8% 36% 36% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.8% 36% -16.1%
10% -40.2% 34% -24.2%
15% -45.9% 32% -31.5%
20% -51.2% 26% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.24 · official $37.24 (match) · 86 history records