Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:29:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3bbb…48f2
crypto · 244 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,057 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,056 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$64
Realized−$3,056
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses109 / 133
Whale WR (big bets)24%
Est. fees paid−$265
Open positions2
Markets (closed)242 / 244
History coverage98d
Avg bet$145
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 242 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,656
7 days−$7,722
14 days−$7,381
30 days−$5,269
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 60¢ 60¢ $60 $59 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Yue Yuan 12¢ 11¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 61¢ 0¢ $214 $0 −$214 (-100%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5 Over 7¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 45¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Over 40¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 Over 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin Jun 13 $68 −$3 -4%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $43 +$25 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$25 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$24 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $98 −$16 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +3%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $211 −$27 -13%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Jun 13 $686 −$74 -11%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5 Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $204 −$45 -22%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $244 +$86 +35%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $429 −$87 -20%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $373 +$56 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$35 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$50 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $216 −$214 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $297 −$80 -27%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $122 −$120 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$45 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $151 +$44 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $223 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$9 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$29 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$21 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$13 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $153 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$61 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $171 −$19 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $109 +$27 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $340 −$36 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $536 −$76 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $144 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$11 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$9 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $46 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +32%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $118 +$179 +152%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $196 +$59 +30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 44% +$1,068
crypto 42% −$1,243
other 8% −$1,189
tech 6% −$1,692
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $60 10m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yu BUY Yue Yuan 12¢ $5 13m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin SELL Anhelina Kalinina 60¢ $65 20m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin BUY Anhelina Kalinina 61¢ $68 57m
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer SELL David Jorda Sanchis 99¢ $68 1h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 62¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 2h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 51¢ $183 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 57¢ $211 11h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Over 8¢ $9 12h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 157.5 BUY Over 10¢ $11 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 -29.5% -36.2% 36% 28% -34.5%
≤30d 192 -15.0% -23.1% 43% 36% -24.3%
≤90d 229 -8.8% -17.5% 44% 38% -17.8%
all 242 -5.4% -14.4% 45% 39% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.4% 39% -17.6%
10% -22.6% 33% -25.5%
15% -30.1% 25% -32.7%
20% -36.9% 20% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $63.63 · official $63.63 (match) · 1203 history records