trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -5.0% | -14.0% | 29% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -5.0% | -14.0% | 29% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 20 | -2.8% | -12.1% | 35% | 5% | -11.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.1% | 5% | -11.1% |
| 10% | -20.5% | 5% | -19.6% |
| 15% | -28.2% | 5% | -27.4% |
| 20% | -35.2% | 5% | -34.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 27 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $3 | −$1 | -19% |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | May 25 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 24 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | -17% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 21 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 09 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Friday? | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%? | May 22 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League? | May 13 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority? | May 11 | $11 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 08 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? | May 07 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May? | May 07 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship? | May 06 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 05 | $11 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will Trump issue an executive order on February 26? | Mar 20 | $6 | +$6 | +117% |
| Thunder vs. Nets | Feb 25 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| UNC Wilmington vs. William & Mary | Feb 25 | $9 | −$4 | -42% |