Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:50:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3b96…9f24
other · 48 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses14 / 34
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 48
History coverage602d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 0 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 14 $10 $0 -0%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? Jun 14 $12 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May? Jun 14 $28 $0 +0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $11 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? May 27 $10 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 26 $10 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 25 $10 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $10 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $10 $0 -0%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 21 $11 +$5 +46%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 20 $10 $0 -0%
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 19 $10 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 18 $47 $0 -0%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins May 18 $10 +$9 +84%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 13 $36 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 12 $36 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 11 $36 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $36 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 30 $40 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 27 $39 $0 -0%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series? Apr 21 $39 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $36 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 20 $37 $0 -0%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 19 $40 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $40 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 18 $37 $0 -0%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Sabres vs. Rangers Apr 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Apr 09 $6 +$5 +70%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings Apr 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Heat vs. Raptors Apr 08 $7 +$7 +93%
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets Apr 07 $14 +$4 +29%
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch? Apr 06 $18 $0 +0%
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? Apr 06 $18 $0 +0%
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? Mar 27 $9 $0 +3%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Mar 05 $2 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $160 in February? Mar 05 $34 $0 +0%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 09 $31 +$2 +8%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 13 $30 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 20 $10 $0 -4%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 18 $18 $0 +2%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 06 $11 −$1 -4%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 29 $8 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 11 $212 −$2 -1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 31 $1,287 −$4 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 28 $838 −$3 -0%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Oct 25 $677 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 81% −$10
other 12% −$20
sports 3% +$14
crypto 2% $0
economics 1% $0
tech 1% +$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $10 1m
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $11 16d
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 16d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $10 17d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $10 19d
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 19d
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? BUY No 100¢ $12 19d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 22d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 22d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 23d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 24d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 25d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Thunder 68¢ $11 25d
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $10 25d
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $10 25d
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $28 26d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $47 26d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $47 27d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Milwaukee Brewers 54¢ $5 30d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Milwaukee Brewers 54¢ $5 30d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $36 31d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $36 31d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $36 32d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $36 32d
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $36 33d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.0% -9.5% 67% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 14 +9.2% -1.2% 29% 14% -3.4%
≤90d 36 -2.2% -11.5% 28% 14% -10.1%
all 48 -1.6% -11.0% 29% 10% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.0% 10% -9.8%
10% -19.5% 10% -18.5%
15% -27.3% 8% -26.3%
20% -34.4% 6% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 249 history records