Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:56:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3b85…7a97
crypto · 1088 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$217 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$217 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$217
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses670 / 421
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1091 / 1088
History coverage44d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day59.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1091 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$200
14 days−$200
30 days−$200
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 64¢ 64¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +194%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$183
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1080 -0.1% -9.6% 62% 41% -11.8%
≤30d 1080 -0.1% -9.6% 62% 41% -11.8%
≤90d 1091 -0.2% -9.7% 61% 41% -12.0%
all 1091 -0.2% -9.7% 61% 41% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 41% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 28% -20.4%
15% -26.2% 19% -28.1%
20% -33.5% 13% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.45 · official $5.05 · 3500 history records