trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +21.3% | +9.7% | 100% | 100% | +9.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -12.1% | -20.4% | 60% | 40% | -13.9% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +5.2% | -4.8% | 75% | 39% | -9.4% |
| all | 119 | +7.8% | -2.5% | 77% | 50% | -8.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.5% | 50% | -8.8% |
| 10% | -11.8% | 36% | -17.5% |
| 15% | -20.4% | 29% | -25.5% |
| 20% | -28.2% | 19% | -32.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Ghana (-1.5) | Jun 26 | $33 | +$7 | +21% |
| Spread: Knicks (-13.5) | Jun 17 | $17 | +$3 | +18% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 09 | $77 | −$1 | -2% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 30 | $29 | −$29 | -99% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $197 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | May 22 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | May 22 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | May 22 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | May 22 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | May 22 | $4 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | May 22 | $4 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | May 22 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | May 22 | $10 | +$3 | +32% |
| Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | May 22 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | May 22 | $5,300 | −$2 | -0% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 14 | $20 | +$6 | +27% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 03 | $15 | +$1 | +6% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 03 | $15 | +$5 | +36% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | May 03 | $414 | +$7 | +2% |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 20 | $21,520 | −$22 | -0% |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Apr 20 | $172 | +$28 | +16% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 20 | $21,341 | −$21 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 12 | $693 | $0 | +0% |
| Thunder vs. Clippers | Apr 10 | $210 | +$87 | +42% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 08 | $641 | +$2 | +0% |
| Pelicans vs. Raptors | Apr 01 | $15 | +$5 | +33% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Apr 01 | $13 | +$7 | +54% |
| Pacers vs. Bulls | Apr 01 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Mar 27 | $5 | +$5 | +92% |
| Pelicans vs. Pistons | Mar 27 | $6 | +$4 | +54% |
| Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5 | Mar 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) | Mar 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Heat (-3.5) | Mar 22 | $30 | +$27 | +89% |
| Magic vs. Hornets | Mar 22 | $50 | +$27 | +54% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 19 | $588 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 19 | $4 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 19 | $4 | +$1 | +15% |
| Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 19 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | Mar 19 | $4 | +$1 | +25% |
| Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awar | Mar 19 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 19 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awar | Mar 19 | $4 | +$1 | +25% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 19 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Spread: Heat (-3.5) | Mar 19 | $20 | +$20 | +96% |
| Wizards vs. Celtics | Mar 19 | $380 | +$20 | +5% |
| Spread: Raptors (-1.5) | Mar 14 | $2 | +$3 | +108% |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Mar 14 | $27 | +$13 | +47% |
| Cavaliers vs. Magic | Mar 11 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Mar 11 | $390 | −$4 | -1% |
| Pistons vs. Spurs | Mar 11 | $3 | +$2 | +67% |