Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T10:41:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
3B 0x3b72…34d8 crypto 1501 markets active 0h ago coverage 51d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 51d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$368 (+0%) realized +$368 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate77%1151W / 351L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$84per market
Trades / day44.0pace
Kalshi-fit56%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days+$164
14 days+$185
30 days+$167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 58% −$73
crypto 42% −$105
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 144 +0.3% -9.3% 97% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 825 -2.6% -11.9% 88% 13% -9.3%
≤90d 1502 -10.5% -19.0% 77% 11% -9.7%
all 1502 -10.5% -19.0% 77% 11% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 11% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 8% -18.3%
15% -33.8% 5% -26.2%
20% -40.3% 4% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
85% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -18% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

51d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$368
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1151 / 351
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1502 / 1501
History coverage51d ⚠
Avg bet$84
Trades / day44.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1502 Trades
no open positions (244 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $122 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $51 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $54 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $56 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 19 $250 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $109 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 19 $31 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $106 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $80 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 18 $61 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 18 $42 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $62 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $250 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $138 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $150 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 18 $105 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 18 $62 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 18 $140 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $11 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $105 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $92 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $38 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $250 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $220 +$7 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $244 +$2 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $140 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $250 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $140 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $17 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $238 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $250 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $212 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $58 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $140 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $168 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $90 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $93 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $61 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $36 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $140 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $140 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $140 +$4 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $36 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $135 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $25 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $122 11m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $54 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $56 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $41 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $41 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $140 8h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $109 8h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $31 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $106 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 11h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $61 12h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $42 15h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $62 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $110 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $140 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $138 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $123 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $27 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $62 28h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $140 32h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 35h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $105 36h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $92 37h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 38h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.40 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records