Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:57:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3b65…83f2
crypto · 679 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$402 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$399 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$399
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses275 / 402
Open positions2
Markets (closed)677 / 679
History coverage4d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day610.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 677 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$314
7 days−$399
14 days−$399
30 days−$399
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 48¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 53¢ 38¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? No 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$5 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $29 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $38 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$5 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$8 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$1 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$402
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 26m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 677 -11.5% -20.0% 41% 20% -12.4%
≤30d 677 -11.5% -20.0% 41% 20% -12.4%
≤90d 677 -11.5% -20.0% 41% 20% -12.4%
all 677 -11.5% -20.0% 41% 20% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover610.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 20% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 8% -20.8%
15% -34.6% 4% -28.5%
20% -41.0% 2% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.41 · official $1.04 (match) · 3500 history records