Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:42:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3b4b…1b0c
crypto · 1677 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$572 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$571 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$571
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1585 / 91
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1676 / 1677
History coverage10d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day180.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1676 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$72
7 days−$775
14 days−$571
30 days−$571
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 95¢ 90¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $164 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$572
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $164 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $11 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1048 -2.3% -11.6% 93% 0% -13.3%
≤30d 1676 -0.6% -10.1% 95% 0% -11.4%
≤90d 1676 -0.6% -10.1% 95% 0% -11.4%
all 1676 -0.6% -10.1% 95% 0% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover180.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 0% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 0% -19.9%
15% -26.5% 0% -27.6%
20% -33.7% 0% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.95 · official $6.48 (match) · 3500 history records