Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:38:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3B
0x3b43…9e23
sports · 964 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,507 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,502 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$291
Realized−$1,502
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses320 / 626
Est. fees paid−$386
Open positions7
Markets (closed)946 / 964
History coverage206d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 7 History 946 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$244
14 days−$944
30 days−$1,197
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 56¢ $66 $75 +$9 (+13%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 37¢ 50¢ $38 $52 +$14 (+36%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 42¢ 42¢ $43 $42 −$1 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $37 $38 +$1 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 47¢ 34¢ $48 $35 −$13 (-27%)
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $35 $34 −$1 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 23¢ 14¢ $24 $15 −$9 (-37%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Buse (-1.5) vs Kovacevic (+1.5) Kovacevic 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Ignacio Buse: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak James McCabe 12¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Blockx 23¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? No 40¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Will Levante UD vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-27? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-08? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ilkley: Veronika Podrez vs Tatiana Prozorova Veronika Podrez 17¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-03-08? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Paris: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Talia Gibson 13¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Casper Ruud 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Barbora Palicova 11¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $83 −$82 -99%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $20 +$30 +144%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $18 −$18 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $15 +$37 +250%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $27 +$10 +36%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $11 −$10 -98%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $34 +$30 +90%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $110 −$58 -53%
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina Jun 08 $84 −$83 -98%
Ilkley: Veronika Podrez vs Tatiana Prozorova Jun 08 $18 −$18 -98%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Ilkley: Harry Wendelken vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 08 $7 −$7 -98%
Lyon: Laslo Djere vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 08 $34 −$8 -24%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $32 +$20 +63%
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sarah Rakotomanga Jun 08 $6 −$5 -97%
Lyon: Lorenzo Giustino vs Daniel Rincon Jun 08 $12 −$11 -98%
Bratislava: Norbert Gombos vs Jan Choinski Jun 08 $10 −$10 -97%
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson Jun 08 $25 −$24 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Himeno Sakatsume Jun 08 $11 −$10 -98%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jazmin Ortenzi Jun 08 $5 −$5 -97%
Bratislava: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Tomas Barrios Jun 08 $3 −$3 -97%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa Jun 08 $6 −$6 -97%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $12 +$19 +158%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $8 −$7 -97%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $11 −$11 -98%
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 05 $289 +$98 +34%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevic Jun 05 $242 −$20 -8%
Heilbronn: Marco Trungelliti vs Diego Dedura-Palomero Jun 05 $38 −$37 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $18 −$18 -97%
Makarska: Barbora Palicova vs Elina Avanesyan Jun 05 $25 −$24 -97%
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Taro Daniel Jun 05 $26 −$25 -97%
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 04 $61 −$30 -49%
Makarska: Elina Avanesyan vs Dominika Salkova Jun 04 $66 −$33 -50%
Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Giorgia Pedone Jun 04 $101 −$88 -87%
Prostejov: Hynek Barton vs Norbert Gombos Jun 04 $13 −$13 -97%
Makarska: Simona Waltert vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia Jun 04 $35 −$34 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $207 +$36 +17%
Prostejov: Taro Daniel vs Damir Dzumhur Jun 04 $99 −$40 -40%
Makarska: Robin Montgomery vs Lea Boskovic Jun 04 $47 −$22 -47%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Gabriela Knutson Jun 04 $26 −$25 -98%
Birmingham: Alex Bolt vs Arthur Fery Jun 04 $41 −$40 -98%
Heilbronn: Max Hans Rehberg vs Marvin Moeller Jun 04 $66 −$65 -98%
Makarska: Maria Timofeeva vs Erika Andreeva Jun 04 $41 −$40 -98%
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Viola Turini Jun 04 $26 −$25 -98%
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Mary Stoiana Jun 04 $50 −$49 -98%
Birmingham: Tatjana Maria vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 04 $14 −$14 -98%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Alina Charaeva Jun 04 $16 −$16 -98%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $20 −$20 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$2,422
other 43% +$1,180
crypto 2% −$105
world 0% −$154
finance 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $67 4m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 37¢ $39 48m
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 34¢ $36 48m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 42¢ $44 49m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $38 49m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 23¢ $25 57m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 47¢ $49 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $105 2h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel SELL Taro Daniel 42¢ $87 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 35¢ $105 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $112 2h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 42¢ $87 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $109 2h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 31¢ $16 3h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 65¢ $67 3h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 10¢ $5 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Taylah Preston BUY Oksana Selekhmeteva 15¢ $8 4h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 30¢ $15 4h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Filippo Romano 7¢ $3 5h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Filippo Romano 36¢ $15 5h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 40¢ $2 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $6 27h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 32¢ $12 30h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 41¢ $15 30h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $11 30h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $15 31h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY 18¢ $19 31h
Ilkley: Ugo Blanchet vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Ugo Blanchet 5¢ $8 5d
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler SELL Karolina Pliskova 63¢ $64 5d
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian SELL Jaqueline Cristian 100¢ $51 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -48.4% -53.3% 23% 23% -51.2%
≤30d 191 -39.5% -45.2% 24% 22% -31.2%
≤90d 609 -14.8% -23.0% 31% 29% -20.3%
all 946 -7.3% -16.1% 34% 32% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.1% 32% -12.7%
10% -24.1% 30% -21.1%
15% -31.5% 29% -28.7%
20% -38.2% 26% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $291.28 · official $304.73 · 2214 history records