trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico leading at halftime? | Jun 11 | $25 | +$24 | +93% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-10? | Jun 11 | $267 | +$39 | +15% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 10 | $181 | +$36 | +20% |
| Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? | Jun 07 | $32 | +$66 | +209% |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | Jun 07 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 07 | $58 | −$58 | -100% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k? | Jun 07 | $275 | −$275 | -100% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 07 | $522 | +$46 | +9% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $180 | +$916 | +508% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | May 15 | $320 | −$241 | -75% |
| Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN? | May 15 | $218 | +$260 | +119% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Mar 19 | $42 | +$58 | +138% |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 16 | $19 | +$13 | +68% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 09 | $35 | +$89 | +254% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Mar 09 | $20 | −$8 | -40% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +5.7% | -4.4% | 62% | 50% | -19.7% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +54.3% | +39.6% | 64% | 55% | +23.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +61.8% | +46.4% | 69% | 62% | +25.8% |
| all | 15 | +67.8% | +51.8% | 67% | 60% | +28.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +51.8% | 60% | +28.2% |
| 10% | +37.3% | 47% | +16.0% |
| 15% | +24.0% | 47% | +4.8% |
| 20% | +11.9% | 47% | -5.5% |