Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:31:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3af9…b4bb
crypto · 825 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,659 -88%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,659 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,659
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses485 / 728
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1213 / 825
Avg bet$8
Trades / day289.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1213 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,442
7 days−$5,478
14 days−$5,659
30 days−$5,659
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$46 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$40 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$12 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$14 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$19 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$28 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$62 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$30 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$36 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$17 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$9 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$8 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$26 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -1294%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$7 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -934%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$9 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$28 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$24 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$8 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$15 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$18 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$11 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$15 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$45 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$15 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$33 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$18 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$23 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$24 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$8 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -913%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$12 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$7 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$30 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$227
weather 4% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 12? SELL No 4¢ $1 30m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12? SELL No 93¢ $37 30m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12? SELL Yes 89¢ $37 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 89¢ $37 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12? SELL No 80¢ $8 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12? BUY No 84¢ $42 1h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 12? SELL Yes 69¢ $22 1h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 12? BUY Yes 78¢ $25 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 12? SELL No 8¢ $2 2h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 12? BUY No 8¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12? SELL No 8¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12? BUY No 8¢ $2 2h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 12? SELL No 13¢ $6 2h
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 12? BUY No 14¢ $7 2h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? SELL Yes 90¢ $16 3h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 91¢ $17 3h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 12? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12? SELL No 81¢ $36 3h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12? SELL No 77¢ $4 3h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 12? BUY No 82¢ $41 3h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11? SELL No 0¢ $0 26h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 11? SELL Yes 15¢ $3 26h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June SELL Yes 10¢ $6 26h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June SELL No 83¢ $16 26h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju SELL No 85¢ $18 26h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June BUY No 85¢ $8 26h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June SELL No 85¢ $4 26h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June BUY No 86¢ $4 26h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju BUY No 87¢ $9 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-39.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 716 -55.9% -60.1% 37% 3% -54.4%
≤30d 1213 -33.5% -39.8% 40% 17% -40.0%
≤90d 1213 -33.5% -39.8% 40% 17% -40.0%
all 1213 -33.5% -39.8% 40% 17% -40.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover289.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.8% 17% -40.0%
10% ← realistic here -45.6% 13% -45.7%
15% -50.9% 12% -51.0%
20% -55.7% 11% -55.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records