trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+39%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 64¢ | 60¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Knicks | 37¢ | 34¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5 | Over | 85¢ | 66¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-22%) |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +40% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $7 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +104% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +34% |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | Mar 08 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | Mar 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5 | BUY Over | 85¢ | $1 | 53m |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 72¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 37¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 64¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 | BUY Over | 71¢ | $1 | 11h |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 82¢ | $2 | 11h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL Yes | 98¢ | $2 | 23h |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 | BUY Over | 88¢ | $6 | 23h |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 | BUY Over | 67¢ | $1 | 24h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 47¢ | $1 | 24h |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina | 74¢ | $1 | 33h |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 32¢ | $1 | 47h |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | BUY No | 98¢ | $1 | 97d |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY Down | 45¢ | $1 | 143d |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BUY Up | 94¢ | $1 | 143d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 71% | 57% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 71% | 57% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 71% | 57% | -8.9% |
| all | 9 | -10.7% | -19.2% | 67% | 44% | -14.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.2% | 44% | -14.2% |
| 10% | -26.9% | 33% | -22.4% |
| 15% | -34.0% | 22% | -29.9% |
| 20% | -40.4% | 11% | -36.8% |