Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:02:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3aea…f79e
sports · 81 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$61 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$57
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses37 / 42
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions2
Markets (closed)79 / 81
History coverage7d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day30.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$50
14 days−$57
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 24¢ 28¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 38¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner 9z 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Vitality 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BetBoom Team 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner paiN 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$4 +126%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$4 +78%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $7 +$2 +35%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -52%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$5 +164%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$4 +89%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$6 +63%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$5 -64%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$2 +34%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $15 +$9 +60%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$2 -28%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 −$5 -33%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$5 +259%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$5 +103%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$4 +65%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 +$5 +101%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $16 −$16 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $20 +$2 +12%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $10 +$4 +38%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $8 +$8 +100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $35 +$2 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 24¢ $3 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $7 45m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $9 47m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 43¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 55¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 87¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 52¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 32¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 55¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 14¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL B8 21¢ $0 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 72¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 42¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $3 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 39¢ $2 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 60¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 58¢ $3 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 3¢ $1 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 8¢ $1 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $8 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 20¢ $2 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 46¢ $2 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 27¢ $1 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 19¢ $2 20h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 99¢ $7 20h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 70¢ $5 20h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 31¢ $3 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-30.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -20.8% -28.4% 48% 44% -18.1%
≤30d 79 -22.6% -30.0% 47% 43% -19.3%
≤90d 79 -22.6% -30.0% 47% 43% -19.3%
all 79 -22.6% -30.0% 47% 43% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.0% 43% -19.3%
10% ← realistic here -36.7% 39% -27.0%
15% -42.8% 29% -34.1%
20% -48.4% 18% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.44 · official $3.44 (match) · 219 history records