Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:33:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3ae1…befb
sports · 717 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$28,626 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$29,172 · open +$546
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,264
Realized−$29,172
Unrealized+$546
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses400 / 348
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$3,525
Open positions3
Markets (closed)748 / 717
History coverage75d
Avg bet$429
Trades / day38.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 748 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,604
7 days−$9,179
14 days−$6,877
30 days−$17,897
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Vitality 81¢ 100¢ $1,321 $1,628 +$307 (+23%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 53¢ 86¢ $382 $621 +$239 (+63%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs 3DMAX 30¢ 0¢ $305 $0 −$305 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 36¢ 0¢ $259 $0 −$259 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 45¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 52¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 56¢ 0¢ $651 $0 −$651 (-100%)
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Natus Vincere 15¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA Challengers 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage PARIVISION 40¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION Challengers 28¢ 0¢ $285 $0 −$285 (-100%)
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana LNG Esports 75¢ 0¢ $258 $0 −$258 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 32¢ 0¢ $420 $0 −$420 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner 3DMAX 62¢ 0¢ $247 $0 −$247 (-100%)
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner Virtus.pro 16¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 33¢ 0¢ $367 $0 −$367 (-100%)
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season Joblife 54¢ 0¢ $450 $0 −$450 (-100%)
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Natus Vincere 34¢ 0¢ $347 $0 −$347 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner Team Falcons 27¢ 0¢ $501 $0 −$501 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner Sentinels 42¢ 0¢ $690 $0 −$690 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner FaZe 63¢ 0¢ $259 $0 −$259 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 46¢ 0¢ $341 $0 −$341 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Jun 13 $120 −$120 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage Jun 13 $235 −$235 -100%
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Gro Jun 13 $360 −$360 -100%
LoL: Diversion Gaming vs eSuba (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage Jun 13 $137 −$137 -100%
LoL: BK ROG Esports vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Group Jun 13 $379 −$379 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season Jun 13 $552 −$552 -100%
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 13 $328 −$328 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $822 −$822 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs Jun 13 $809 −$809 -100%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Jun 13 $137 −$137 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $388 −$388 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $107 −$126 -118%
LoL: Anubis Gaming vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stage Jun 13 $308 −$308 -100%
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Jun 13 $714 −$714 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $403 −$403 -100%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 4 Winne Jun 13 $468 −$468 -100%
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Game Hunters (BO3) - CCT South America Series Jun 13 $301 −$301 -100%
LoL: P11 Esports vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season Jun 13 $298 −$298 -100%
LoL: One More Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stag Jun 13 $388 −$387 -100%
LoL: HMBLE vs P11 Esports (BO1) Jun 13 $290 −$290 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Jun 13 $435 −$434 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group B Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $205 −$205 -100%
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group Jun 13 $162 −$162 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterd Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $244 −$244 -100%
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $316 −$316 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 13 $280 −$280 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $305 −$305 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $953 −$953 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Jun 13 $341 −$341 -100%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Nexus (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Gr Jun 13 $248 −$248 -100%
LoL: GIANTX PRIDE vs Barça eSports (BO1) - LES Kick-off Group B Jun 13 $138 −$138 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 13 $413 −$413 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $212 +$168 +79%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $723 +$114 +16%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $351 +$556 +158%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $31 +$15 +48%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $538 +$282 +52%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $454 +$166 +37%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $36 +$160 +450%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $452 −$448 -99%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $236 +$272 +116%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $411 +$148 +36%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,134 +$417 +37%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $76 −$75 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $153 +$280 +184%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $704 +$171 +24%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $759 +$163 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$16,930
other 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 87¢ $26 11m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 87¢ $52 11m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 87¢ $9 13m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 87¢ $29 13m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $135 42m
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $135 43m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 76¢ $454 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 84¢ $396 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 84¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 84¢ $336 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 84¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 84¢ $105 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 55¢ $212 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 74¢ $452 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $31 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 38¢ $152 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 38¢ $199 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 86¢ $723 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 73¢ $93 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 73¢ $216 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 73¢ $145 5h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 65¢ $538 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $15 6h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 18¢ $21 7h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 18¢ $15 7h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 55¢ $76 21h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 47¢ $4 21h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 46¢ $232 21h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 32¢ $5 22h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 32¢ $1 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -21.3% -28.8% 43% 40% -26.9%
≤30d 324 -10.6% -19.1% 50% 47% -22.4%
≤90d 748 -10.5% -19.0% 53% 48% -17.7%
all 748 -10.5% -19.0% 53% 48% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 48% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.7% 36% -25.6%
15% -33.8% 26% -32.8%
20% -40.3% 19% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,263.74 · official $2,263.74 (match) · 3500 history records