Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:15:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3A
0x3ad6…d9df
other · 3 markets active 2d ago
2.0score
+$4,793 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,793 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,793
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage32d
Avg bet$26,882
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,715
7 days+$4,715
14 days+$4,741
30 days+$4,793
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 11 $77,950 +$4,715 +6%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? Jun 01 $1,460 +$26 +2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? May 14 $1,236 +$52 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$4,793
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 89¢ $82,665 36h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 86¢ $86 45h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 84¢ $1,992 9d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 84¢ $34 9d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 84¢ $1,485 9d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 85¢ $3,220 11d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 85¢ $1 11d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 85¢ $19 11d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 85¢ $55 11d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 85¢ $1,503 11d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $78 13d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 86¢ $6,882 28d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? SELL No 92¢ $1,288 28d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 89¢ $69 30d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 89¢ $52 30d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 89¢ $52 30d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 89¢ $9 30d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 89¢ $162 31d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 89¢ $8 31d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 89¢ $3 31d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 89¢ $1 31d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? BUY No 88¢ $880 31d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 83¢ $5,977 32d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 83¢ $56,697 32d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? BUY No 98¢ $982 33d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? BUY No 98¢ $400 33d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +6.0% -4.1% 100% 0% -4.1%
≤30d 3 +4.0% -5.9% 100% 0% -4.1%
≤90d 3 +4.0% -5.9% 100% 0% -4.1%
all 3 +4.0% -5.9% 100% 0% -4.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.9% 0% -4.1%
10% ← realistic here -14.9% 0% -13.3%
15% -23.1% 0% -21.7%
20% -30.7% 0% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 73 history records